Showing posts with label electoral college. Show all posts
Showing posts with label electoral college. Show all posts

Friday, November 7, 2008

The Final Score

Obama 364, Mccain 173. An electoral College landslide.

North Carolinia, previously contested, was put under Obama's colum by 14,000 popular votes. These 14,000 alone put the extreaneous 15 College votes in Obama's column. Dang.
McCain wound up getting Missouri, but only after a contested 49/49 split (2% to third parties) with McCain's tight victory margin of 12,000. Missouri is traditionally a safe Republican state. So was North Carolina. And Florida. And Colorado.

Locally, Calhoun and Larkin won the Assembly and State Senate respectively, and John Hall was re-elected. I had the honor of meeting him on the night he was re-elected. He's an awesome dude.

Thursday, November 6, 2008

The Sunshine State, The Party, and The Future

Wow. I still can't believe it's real. Barack Obama, our next president. An African American and a Catholic?

First thing first, I have to tip my hat to the Sunshine State--Florida. You have fully redeemed yourself. I'm not going to take away your "God's waiting room" title (I mean come on, one must face facts) but WOW. I was uniquely impressed by the following states that I ever thought would go blue: Colorado, North Carolina (still awaiting further cofirmation), and Virginia. But wait Jose, didn't you project Virginia? Yeah I did. But that was my wishful thinking coinciding with fallible data I can't really credit the success to President-Elect Obama himself: the volunteers deserve the laud. People like myself were finally recognized with purpose. Obama gave people purpose. The people gave people time, paitience, and even money. That m word that haunted people to the polls.

So whats in store for both parties? Well the Democrats have every reason to jump for joy: They won the White House and a filibuster-proof majority in both houses of Congress. But we can't keep celebrating. Our lame duck president and Congressional members who will not be returning come January may have a few tricks up their sleeves. Also, this is not just an opportunity this is a test for the Democrats. Will they self-destruct under pressure? Will Obama fail to bring the change that compelled people to give so much? Will Congress be even worse than it was the last 2,4,6, even 8 years? Time will tell folks. As for the Republicans, they've got some shaping up to do. They've become marginalized and a minority. They shouldn't feel to threatened, because many of these states were almost to close to call with 50/50 splits in more than one. Assuming the influx of new voters stay, sure they have a little problem. They must appeal to the people once again. The millennials are growing up. Let me let you in on a secret: we don't like labels and we don't like being told what to do and who to like. The independent electorate is swelling. Even I'm going to register as an independent. The Republicans must adopt people friendly measures and candidates. They must prove that they are in focus with the problems and are willing to work in tandem. You'll always have die-hard Republicans and you'll always have die hard Democrats. But really, when it boils down, follow the words of the late President Rutherford B. Hayes: "He serves his party best who serves his country best"

I can't really elaboate on the future, but I think the world, arguably, is looking forward to it. I wouldn't call Obama's Win a landslide because the Electoral College just does'nt tell the Truth. Obama only grasped 53% of the popular vote. The Electoral College tells us a (current) score of 349-163. We'll know the full thing when the electors meet on December 15. But the nation has spoken, or at least around 125 million people of the nation have.

I have to go destroy a SUPA paper now. I won't be updatig for the nex couple of days, but o my next post I will most likely be looking into the people who helped and hurt the ticket: Biden and Palin. Have a good one kids.

Saturday, November 1, 2008

My Projection


Here's my prediction for Tuesday: Obama 313- McCain 225

I'm predictig an unexpected upset in Virginia and Ohio in favor of the Democrats, nonetheless I'm expecting Missouri to be as annoying as it usually is, along with Florida. Fox News has placed Florida in the Dem's column, but considering its God's Waiting room full of patients from the Civil Rights Era, I think not. Colorado, a whopping three votes, will most likely make an about face into the red column. Pennsylvania, a huge battleground state has seen record fundrasing by Senator Obama and a huge influx of volunteers from the surrounding Northeastern states, namely the Great State of New York (what what?). So I'm anticipating a blue result, although I'm not too confident on that one. Same with Ohio. West Virginia is absoultely going Red, so I don't know why Obama is waisting his time and money there. Indiana, which is in a statistical dead heat, is favored to go Republican by Fox, but a legit tossup by CNN and Yahoo! Because of it's closeess and ifluence of Illionois (Obama's home states) he'll take the cake.

Ah, sweet victory. But don't jump for joy yet. Anything could happen.

For the locals I'm predicting Nancy Calhoun as my town's Assemblywomen, Bill Larkin as state senator, and a landslide win for John Hall as the 19th District's Congressman. I actually like Larkin because he got a $500,000 grant for the Town of South Blooming Grove (my town) so that we could repair and reform our water system, which has not been replaced since the LBJ (1964) administration. So Kudos sir! You would have my vote.